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Status Replies posted by brad01
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Hi Brad, thank you for your time. It gives me some hope that we can keep things more comfortable and keep the bets lower.
Keith's suggestion of s40 m3 is a good one although his approach is too aggressive for me. I used the same bet selection on craps last year at the casino without the m3 mode and never lost, although it wasn't a great amount of sessions I played, however.
I will have to give your approach a go!
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I recently just discovered something that I believe the secret to pro gambling is this:
Every bet selection strategy no matter what WILL FAIL over time
Therefore if every bet selection strategy goes through winning and losing cycles we must graph several at once to be able to always pick a good cycle
Even then it is the switch that hurt you because what if every time you see a cycle is good and bet and it turns on you?
That's why further to the WL tracking of O / R / OT / T I also put a real money WL record in there which independent of all strategies records my ACTUAL win / loss
That protects you against the switches
I feel this is the answer - not bet selection or MM as we have many of those but RIDING THE WL CYCLES
I will post more so you see what I mean but the great thing is if you record say O/R and you get WWLW then its opposites strong
If it goes LLWL then its repeats strong - theres always a cycle to ride and with OT v T even more !
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Question for you brad please on strike rate....if on MDB with a trigger if I bet it 3 times on a row and it goes l l w is my rate 33% or 100%?
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him mate your strike rate is 33% - you won 1 of 3 that's not related to MDB+ that's just maths
In relation to MDB+ your trigger win rate is 100% because you won it within 3 bets
lost 1st step, lost 2nd won 3rd
but keep in mind a 3 step progression will take you a long way regardless of mdb+ or not
you could do real well with any bet selection that worked.
MDB+ is not always the best for me. Sometimes other techniques work as well or better
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