Is Baccarat Random

[Keith Smith]

Is Baccarat Random?

Ask BeatTheCasino.com and E. Clifton Davis

I think there is one thing we can all agree on: If we knew for a fact that the cards are not random we could be taught how to use that information to beat this game. So the 64 million dollar question is: ARE THE CARDS RANDOM?

I know that most players trying to learn this game on their own will give up long before proving the question one way or the other. They will merely arrive at an answer that suits their own satisfaction.

There is also a popular math misconception that distorts the whole picture. This misconception is that ANYTHING can happen within the realm of infinite random occurrence. Armed with this misconception, random proponents can claim that everything that happens in a shoe of cards is within the realm of random.

But this notion defies common sense when you view it from the perspective of frequency of occurrence. The frequency of occurrence side of random mathematics allows that the same thing cannot keep happening within the realm of random occurrence. When it does, the events are no longer random. They are structured. If they are structured, they are predictable.

Let’s look at a simple example. Suppose you are in a coin toss and the quarter actually lands and stays on its edge on the table top. So you say wow, that's interesting - retoss it. Suppose it lands on edge AGAIN? You KNOW something sinister is up, don't you. Yet the random occurrence protagonist says "that’s normal - its within the realm of random occurrence". And he's right, at least to a degree, isn't he. BUT, the transaction DEFIED the frequency of occurrence side of random activity law. And you know that intuitively W/O checking any math laws, don't you.

Now, with that in mind, let’s take a look at BJ, 8 deck BJ to remain compatible. Exactly the same hand shuffles and the same shuffle machines are used in the same way to prepare the cards in Baccarat.

The question can be refined down to this: Does the shuffle procedure

employed transform the cards into a random condition??? Scientists have demonstrated that it takes 25 shuffles to transform a SINGLE deck of cards into a PURELY random condition. Therefore 8 decks requires 25 to the 8th power to shuffle to a random condition.

Computer scientists argue with that number saying that it only takes 7 shuffles to attain a reasonably random condition - whatever THAT means. OK fine, now we are down to 7 to the 8th power. BTW, 7 to the second power is 49. The 8th power won't fit on my calculator.

And how many times is each card ACTUALLY shuffled? Well the casino control boards, who are paid by the casinos incidentally, recently changed the rules from 3 shuffles to 2 shuffles.

So are the cards you play random? Hell no, not even close. If they were the casino would not be standing there. It would have gone broke a long time ago.

Look, there is ONE thing that ALL mathematicians and all gamblers in the know agree on. James O Thorp's Basic Strategy beats random cards hands down in BJ.

The casino will give you a basic strategy card if you ask for it. They sell Basic Strategy books in the casino gift shops. Why? Do casinos actually help players? Don't be naive. The casinos KNOW the cards aren't random because they painstakingly made them non random. They aren't stupid. They aren't in the business to go broke. Basic Strategy cannot beat non random cards. And the more perfectly you play it the more perfectly you will lose. Watch any BJ game in any casino. You'll soon see exactly what I mean for yourself. And remember, your Baccarat cards were shuffled exactly the same way. Any questions?

So what do you do about it? Well, that's what I teach. And I'm the ONLY one.

:beerchug:

[harut]

I'm interested to learn the system. Please send me ur info

[Andrei_A]

You are the only one

[gamerbud]

Is Baccarat Random?

Ask BeatTheCasino.com and E. Clifton Davis

The casino will give you a basic strategy card if you ask for it. They sell Basic Strategy books in the casino gift shops. Why? Do casinos actually help players? Don't be naive. The casinos KNOW the cards aren't random because they painstakingly made them non random. They aren't stupid. They aren't in the business to go broke. Basic Strategy cannot beat non random cards. And the more perfectly you play it the more perfectly you will lose. Watch any BJ game in any casino. You'll soon see exactly what I mean for yourself. And remember, your Baccarat cards were shuffled exactly the same way. Any questions?

So what do you do about it? Well, that's what I teach. And I'm the ONLY one.

:beerchug:

you said it well... im convinced that cards are non random after all... and you are the one sent to change fortune...