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Question for Ellis or Keith regarding biases and the shuffling of cards


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Hi Ellis,

Can you please explain how the 8 card decks (assume) in Bacarat are full of biases, and thus we get Neutral, Opposites, and Repeat shoes?

You mentioned it has to do with the way casinos shuffle cards.

I understand the cards aren't perfectly shuffled, but do they need to be?

Also, what exactly is a perfectly shuffled deck suppose to look like and what would the shoe look like?

i.e. How would the cards come out of a perfectly shuffled deck?

If the decks were perfectly shuffled what system would dominate, and why?

Thanks for your feedback in advance,

Hamster

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Hi Ellis,

Can you please explain how the 8 card decks (assume) in Bacarat are full of biases, and thus we get Neutral, Opposites, and Repeat shoes?

You mentioned it has to do with the way casinos shuffle cards.

I understand the cards aren't perfectly shuffled, but do they need to be?

Also, what exactly is a perfectly shuffled deck suppose to look like and what would the shoe look like?

i.e. How would the cards come out of a perfectly shuffled deck?

If the decks were perfectly shuffled what system would dominate, and why?

Thanks for your feedback in advance,

Hamster

In a word, yes, I can explain that. It is already fully explained in the private forum. Proof of it is the impossibly high casino profits in a supposedly 50/50 game plus commission. But I have to get back to the paying members. They have their questions too and those come first. That is why they are getting so testy with you.

BTW, your first shoe is a good example. Sure, 16 to 4 CAN happen randomly once in a freaking blue moon. But in a casino it happens far too often. Like 10 tens in a row in BJ. It should occur about 1 in a 100 6 deck shoes. But it happens continuously every Sat afternoon. Go watch. Those cards were shuffled too - the same damn machines they use for Baccarat.

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In a word, yes, I can explain that. It is already fully explained in the private forum. Proof of it is the impossibly high casino profits in a supposedly 50/50 game plus commission. But I have to get back to the paying members. They have their questions too and those come first. That is why they are getting so testy with you.

BTW, your first shoe is a good example. Sure, 16 to 4 CAN happen randomly once in a freaking blue moon. But in a casino it happens far too often. Like 10 tens in a row in BJ. It should occur about 1 in a 100 6 deck shoes. But it happens continuously every Sat afternoon. Go watch. Those cards were shuffled too - the same damn machines they use for Baccarat.

Don't be fooled by Davis' NONSENSE! Davis again trying to make excuses why his systems fail! He pulls this casino orchestration to make you lose every few years. Same old tricks.

Reason the take is so much higher than the 1.1% juice is real simple. People lose more hands than win frequently. This necessitates raising ones bet. Now they get into a death spiral where they got to make a big bet to get back. Then they get scared and either try to get back with small bets which is impossible OR run out of risk money (bankroll). Guarantee if you flat bet every hand you will lose EXACTLY the house edge and no more! IOW you will win about 50% of your hands. Want to prove it even anecdotally? Take any bet selection (even flipping a coin) and go through all your shoes flat bet. After even just a few hundred shoes you will see that you have won just about half of your bets. :-)

It isn't complicated!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Davis needs to make it more and more complicated!

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Don't be fooled by Davis' NONSENSE! Davis again trying to make excuses why his systems fail! He pulls this casino orchestration to make you lose every few years. Same old tricks.

Reason the take is so much higher than the 1.1% juice is real simple. People lose more hands than win frequently. This necessitates raising ones bet. Now they get into a death spiral where they got to make a big bet to get back. Then they get scared and either try to get back with small bets which is impossible OR run out of risk money (bankroll). Guarantee if you flat bet every hand you will lose EXACTLY the house edge and no more! IOW you will win about 50% of your hands. Want to prove it even anecdotally? Take any bet selection (even flipping a coin) and go through all your shoes flat bet. After even just a few hundred shoes you will see that you have won just about half of your bets. :-)

It isn't complicated!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Davis needs to make it more and more complicated!

Then it is a betting game and money management game...

If no bias in shoes exist.

Not sure I agree 100%. Some shoes definately have a pattern, while others have several IMO. If you can take advantage of them while they still persist.

But they disappear sometimes just as fast as they appeared.

I am new and hardly an expert like Ellis.

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