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Ntrl9

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Posts posted by Ntrl9

  1. Guys- 

    I play online almost every day for low stakes ($25 unit). I actually play at the casino in the screenshot (5dimes). They hand shuffle the cards and place them in the shuffle master shoe that reads the cards which is integrated with the tote board the same as the B&M casino. 

    The green button is used to reset the shoe and clear the tote board. If you notice they do not place the plastic cover over the shoe so you can see the top of the cards as they sit inside the shoe. The rebate casino which is a different live feed uses a clear shoe but they have to scan each card into the system so that it shows up on the screen. 

    I don't think that these casinos are using the trickery with auto shuffling shoes. That  being said I do not trust them and will never play for high stakes. I play for low stakes in order to fly under the radar. 

    My main play is at the casino I play online while I'm home to pass time (and make a little money). I agree with W2F and I would never exclusively play online. 

    Good luck to all....

  2. Hey Trillion-

    You have been involved with this site a lot longer than I have but you can't say the site has lost steam since Ellis is gone. 

    Yeah there may not be as much activity (by way of posts) but if you have someone (Ellis) talking in circle or continually saying the same stuff is that really helping anyone. 

    I can tell you from the looks of it people on the other forum are not jumping for joy. I hear a lot of bitching about the "Manual" (that still doesn't exist). I would rather not have a new "system" every other month that is just a new spin on an old system to me that just muddies (not sure if that's a word) the waters . That does nothing for us, if anything it just confuses people even more then they were to begin with. 

    I have been active on this site for only a year and I can tell you that I have been winning consistently for the last several months. Mind you I work at it almost all my free time. I analyze every aspect of my play to see what I am doing wrong and how I can improve. 

    I don't want to sound rude and I certainly don't want to offend anyone but you get out what you put in. There is not a system out there that will make you a winner just by following a few triggers.

    Good luck all....

    • Like 1
  3. Dazza-

    Typically you stay on the run to the end. I would look at the runs to see where they are breaking and use that as your indicator. Use the MC 2+ event to tell you where to jump off the run. I happen to love S40- what I don't love is guessing the modes. It's nice when the shoe has all 1's and 2's and you kill it with S40 mode 2 but that doesn't happen very often. If I see a show high in 1's and low in 2's I will play S40 mode 1 and look where most of the runs are breaking and jump off the run at that point and wait for it to break and resume betting S40 mode 1. 

    Now just keep in mind TBL (time before last) and S40 mode 1 are  one in the same. So call it S40M1 or TBL your betting the same thing. The problem with betting this way is if the shoe is high in 1's and 3's you will lose when it goes 2 then win when it goes 3 but then give it right back when it breaks after the 3. That's why you need to pay attention to the show and see where the runs are breaking and pause the betting at the most common event and wait for it to break before resuming. This is the way I would play it but I play conservatively. 

    I hope this helps. 

  4. So Kevin how would you NetBet normal frequency of occurrence events. It sounds interesting but I woildnt know where to begin. 

    I would love a companion system to play with MDB. I've been averaging 2 units per shoe with my conservative play. The hardest part is staying focused on the shoe while waiting for triggers. I haven't had much time to allocate to playing live shoes at the casino lately. I have only been able to play 1 one shoe per visit. 

    I I look forward to hearing more about your idea.

    ntrl9

  5. 9 minutes ago, junketman said:

    Hi Ntrl9:  Thanks for the information

    Sounds like no problems at 5Dimes or Betonline. Do you prefer one over the other

    No problems at all. I make withdrawals every other week. I stagger the withdrawals so one week I'm cashing out 5dimes and the next week its betonline. I do this so I never have that much money in my account just in case they shut down...

  6. 1 hour ago, junketman said:

    I'm looking to play Baccarat online with live dealers.

    Looking at 5Dimes or Betonline . Has anyone played at these - if so are they OK

    Anybody played at other places with live dealers 

    Thank you in advance for any input

    Hey Junketman-

    I have accounts at both 5dimes and betonline. 5dimes pretty recently added a second live feed which is the same as betonline. Now I have accounts at both sites because I keep both feeds up simultaneously so I can keep an eye on the potential triggers without constantly switching tables. 5dimes has two different tables being dealt at the same time on their regular feed which they call Vegas Live Dealer (the other is rebate live dealer). 

    I play online almost everyday seven days a week and I have been having success playing online MDB for over 6 months now. I don't play high stakes online due to the US gaming laws and I don't want to give the casino an excuse to not pay me. So basically I am trying to fly under the radar by not playing high stakes. I usually play to +2 per shoe for a daily win of +10.

    I hope this helps....

  7. I think Bo-da shoe is good example of how original MDB+ rules can lose a progression

    As such 2 rules that I learned from NTR and way2fast:

    MDB+ way2fast / NTR rule #57:

    If in doubt extend the triggers out!

    MDB+ way2fast / NTR rule number #58:

    If the trigger looks really unstable don't put your money on the table!

    Brad-

    You are exactly right. If I don't like the feeling of a trigger I don't take it PERIOD... The one advantage we have over the casino is that we don't have to bet if we don't want to. As I have said many times- I would rather miss a trigger by waiting than lose a progression. As your unit size increases this becomes more important...

    Ntrl9

  8. MDB can and will lose a progression to a heavily biased shoe. There are ways to navigate around loses by delaying certain triggers. That being said a heavy bias can win a progression it all depends on how the cards fall.

    Ntrl9 thanks for the response,

    Does MDB loses on shoes that have long term bias? cause if it isn't it maybe the easiest to apply in all kind of circumstances...

  9. Apagonis-

    I think MDB+ would be the way to play this type of shoe. MDB+ does well with a short term bias. The short term bias is indicative of a shoe that is constantly changing. I am seeing these types of shoes as most all players are. These days it is rare to see a shoe that has a consistent bias from start to finish.

    Ntrl9

    Hello there,

    I have been playing NOR for 10 days with good results for a rookie so far (+50 units) but its hard to apply because in a shoe there a lot changes to system you should be playing its kind of exhausting.I do believe NOR makes money but i think i need something more clear.

    I got also the 5D pdf kind of loved the approached i have to admit it seems extremely professional in my eyes to watch at for indicators to make a bet.

    So now i am thinking of getting into MDB but here is the question again.

    I am seeing regular cards with too many system changes and i cant get in untill the reveals itself that is my approach if it cant convince i dont dive in.Would MDB or 5D could be applied to this kind of random situation or is for pre-shuffled situations??

    Thanks in advance

  10. Frank,

    Go to the private MDB forum and read. Keith posted a few videos recently with detailed explanation of each trigger. After reading and watching the screencast video if you still have questions ask them there.

    Ntrl9

    Hi it's Frank44

    Could you please clarify what a neighbouring event is and its relevance.

    My understanding is assuming you are playing 3iar and have a trigger then is the neighbouring event the next 2iar and also the 4 iar after the 3iar and what is its relevance.

    I went to the casino today and on 3 separate tables there were 6 3iar 7 3iar and 7 2iar. that means that on the 3 tables you would have lost 21 units. Unless I totally dont understand the system (although I have read the manual over a dozen times) maybe you can enlighten me. Maybe this is where the neighbouring event comes into it. What is the mathematical probability of losing 5 ira? Hope you can help me

    Regards

  11. Brad-

    I have to disagree with you on this one. IMO learning MDB+ is essential to being a well rounded player. Depending on what type of shoes you see NOR may not be the best way to play in your casino. I may be a bit biased (pun intended) because I am playing MDB+ almost exclusively these days. In all the casinos that I've been in recently there is NO consistent bias. In fact I have been seeing shoes that may develop a bias in the short term but not last very long. I play short term S40 or Otbl for 2 or 3 units when I see the opportunity but never for longer than about 10 plays. If a player is new to baccarat it is hard to play NOR because they usually pick the wrong system or the get caught constantly changing systems and lose their shirt.

    Xdotnet if you are going to play NOR be aware of what is going on in the shoe. If you see the bias begin to change wait to see what is going on with the shoe.

    Good luck-

    NTRL9

  12. I like this shoe for MDB 5 triggers all easy winners.

    Hey, Brad

    Read through this thread but not sure I'm getting it...

    Can you post an entire shoe, then go back and underneath " show exactly" what you mean/where you made your bets/what won/what lost?

    Here's a shoe from Red Rock Casino here in Vegas yesterday...

    From the Beginning of shoe:

    P12311312441221112132122211131121215342

    How would somebody set their card up to have played this beginning to end?

    Thanks and keep it up!

  13. Thank you for the answer, Ntrl9!

    I have a friend who knows and plays only MDB+ (showed me just a little) but he did not study 4D at all (just read about it :) ) and is not playing online at all. He told me (and I also read here) that for online casinos MDB+ is not as suitable and better stick with NOR + 4D. This is why I'm asking.

    So I would be pleased at least to learn 4D properly...maybe the 5D you mention (4D + MDB+) is too much and not really 100% necessary with biased shoes online (meaning we can still win at least 5 units per shoe only with 4D). As I understand reading from threads, 4D is not so much about choosing a system, but playing specific bets (like 'highest count goes higher' or 'lowest count stays in jail') - so similar to MDB+ somehow, not with NOR.

    So for me, as I intend to focus entirely only on online live dealers, and with the amazing 4D live analyzer tool, I think this would be best (not MDB+). I also study NOR and probably will play it online, but somehow I have the impression that 4D is easier and has more logic and consistency.

    Still waiting for answers from someone who plays it... Thank you for mentioning Kachatz1 - I read a lot of his posts, I know he is very good with everything on Baccarat.

    All the best!

    Clark

    Clark-

    I play MDB+ online just about every day. I use betonline.ag and 5dimes but with 5dimes they are definitely more biased shoes. I have posted and PM others exactly this in the past. I played a S40 shoe to +22 last night at 5dimes. At 5dimes I still use MDB+ but more as an indicator of when not to bet. Betonline produces mostly random shoes and I do very well with MDB+ and short term NOR (10 plays or less).

    Ntrl9

  14. Clark-

    Welcome to the forum it's an amazing place to learn everything baccarat. Kachatz1 is the man for 4D. He has adapted it to include some MDB+ bets and calls it 5D. Right now I play MDB+ almost exclusively and I can tell you that upgrading to MDB is the way to go. If you know NOR and MDB you will be prepared for anything the casino throws at you. Most of the new post are on the MDB forum including some discussion about 5D if I'm not mistaken. Good luck in your Baccarat play.

    Ntrl9

  15. I'm looking forward to this one especially that it is in my backyard.... This should also make it easier for the east coast players that find it hard to travel all the way to Vegas to attend. South Florida is a beautiful place and mid October the weather starts to get better while most of the country turns colder.. I hope to see you all then. You can't find a much better place to get away for the weekend (especially those in the North East and Mid West)

    Damian

  16. Hey Brad-

    It's easy to say how you would play a shoe in hindsight.. I can tell you that when I play MDB+ online (hand-shuffle biased cards) I play to win 2 or 3 units in a shoe. However, If I see from the very beginning of the shoe a strong bias I will most definitely sit out until I see a trigger win before diving in. But typically I won't take certain triggers in certain situations. For example P2211111111311122311111222 at this point I would not take a 3- 2's for the next 2 going 3. In fact, I would play S40 and not look to force MDB on this shoe period. I think the biggest mistake you can make is forcing a system on to a particular shoe. You need to flex with the shoe, if you are going to be so inflexible then you are going to have a tough time. That being said I gravitate towards S40 shoes, I will seek out nice choppy shoes and play S40 always it's just my preference.... I know other people I play with see runs and love playing that shoe type betting straight repeats. What I won't do is impose S40 on a perfect TBL or OTBL shoe. It's been said a ton of times and it's really common sense but you need to play the shoe in front of you, recognize the shoe type and play the bias until it changes and then leave or wait until you can identify what is going on. I think its easy to say but with experience you start to be able to sense when a shoe is changing (not all the time and definitely not if your distracted/not 100% focused). That element of play is something that can't be taught it comes with experience and unfortunately losing. Lastly, you can learn all the systems out there and play them in your sleep, but if you can not recognize what system fits the shoe best and when a shoe is changing you will still get into trouble.

    I hope this helps....

    NTRL9

  17. Hey John-

    I have stayed away from playing MDB at my local casino because I thought Vegas was my only option. However, my trip to Vegas a couple of months ago proved to me that even Vegas has heavily biased shoes. To be honest I was shocked by the shoes I saw in Vegas. I compared the shoes I played/recorded in Vegas with the Hard Rock here locally (Hollywood, Florida) and they were not too different. I think as long as your mindful of the possibility of playing a heavily biased shoe and you don't get caught with your pants down MDB will work for any type of cards you face.

    In the last week I have found myself changing the triggers to suit the shoes in front of me. Not always, my base is still the W2F triggers, but I keep an eye on what is going on in the shoe and if I'm not sure I will pass on a trigger to see what happens. Some times I kick myself and other times I'm happy I sat out. I would much rather miss the opportunity to win a bet then lose a progression.

    BTW- I have had losing shoes but not losing days....

    Good luck-

    Damian/Ntrl9

  18. Hey Guys-

    I have been waiting to post this until I was certain and it was thoroughly tested. I know there is some misconception about playing MDB+. MDB+ was originally designed for factory pre-shuffled RANDOM cards not for shuffle master or hand shuffled "BIASED" cards.. As we all know Way2fast has done well with MDB+ but with the delayed triggers that he uses MDB+ works in most situations.

    I have been playing MDB+ online for the past 7 weeks and I have not had a losing day yet (mind you I play online everyday). I play two different sites at the same time. I'm not going to post them here but if you can't figure it out by the shoes I post below PM me and I will provide them to you.. I only play each shoe to +2 or +3 because the sites I play use 6 deck shoes. I have lost a progression here and there but nothing too alarming. FYI- You need to be aware of what is happening in the shoe you are playing- if you see a heavy bias DO NOT play. From time to time you will come across a shoe that let's say is 30 hands in and there are no 2's. In this situation you would not make a bet calling for a 2 to stay 2. Just common sense, don't blindly make bets (mechanically) just because it's a MDB+ trigger, look at what the shoe is telling you. I think Way2fast mentioned in one of his recent posts that he will delay the start of a trigger even further depending on what is going on in the shoe.

    I think it's a good opportunity for those that don't have a casino near them or if their local casino is very unfriendly towards MDB+.

    Good luck to all-

    Ntrl9

    post-7399-14500262719337_thumb.jpg

  19. Keith,

    Thanks for providing some perspective on the direction of the forum. This forum has always been best when players were active in sharing ideas and working out methods. For a number of reasons, many of those very players that helped make this board so great are no longer posting, or have been banned or moved on in some fashion. Fortunately, new players soon become engaged more and there could always be a good exchange of ideas if the board is set up to allow and foster it. I like your plan of keeping the focus on the players and think the use of regional forums is probably a good idea.

    I would also echo Jim's comments about being careful in making wholesale deletions of historical posts. There are a lot of gems of information buried in those threads -- yes they are hard to find sometimes, but it would be a shame if they just disappeared.

    However, I'm not going to subscribe to your critical comments about Ellis. Despite whatever flaws he has (don't we all!), Ellis has a brilliant mind for the game of baccarat, has always cared about the success of his students, and had a lot to do with me developing a better way to think about the game. I would rather he could still be at BTC -- but that is not reality. It's clear you guys have had a significant falling-out, and I don't pretend to know if either of you are more at fault than the other, or whether it is even remotely possible that he could have continued at BTC any longer-- and I don't care as its your business and you have to decide who you want to work with. But just as (justifiably) you do not expect members to promote Ellis' site on this board, it would be great if you didn't use the board to piss on him. If we are moving on, then let's move on.

    Thanks for working to keep BTC going -- it is clearly unique in the gaming world. Looking forward to all the upcoming changes and hopefully many more opportunities to play together.

    Way

    I concur- Well said W2F....

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