Guest Posted November 27, 2007 Report Share Posted November 27, 2007 One of the new members Emailed me a week ago asking about Tens ratio, shoe signature, and tapes available. Because hotmail kept crashing, that Email and my reply went to never never land. So I'll reply again here and you pros can add your comments as well. First, anyone Emailing me should use my firstname.lastname@example.org address. Tens ratio: There are 4 tens for every 13 cards. These tens will seldom be evenly distributed. NBJ is mostly about tens distribution. You will see the best (most even) distribution of tens throughout the deck with new cards IF that casino used a random producing card prep. Some casinos do and some don't. Some go for what we call boxed card order clumping and some go for random. But whatever prep procedure a casino uses they tend to keep the same procedure for a long time, usually weeks. This is the strongest "tell" in BJ. That is why we note what a casino's card prep produces.The more even the tens distribution, the more we favor NBJ third base play and the more we favor basic strategy. The more even the tens distribution the more the dealer will break. Basic Strategy was designed with random cards and therefore every play is based on a 28% dealer break ratio. This seldom occurs except with early morning cards when a random prep was used.The less even the tens distribution the more we favor NBJ first base up until the tens are too clumped to be playable. Over clumping usually is most frequent in 8 deck but I've seen shuffles that even produce over clumping in 4 deck. So 6 deck over clumping is rare but not out of the question. Early morning cards are almost never over clumped. This is because over clumping is caused by play. The more the cards are played and the more players at the table, the more the cards get clumped up to what we call saturation. Tens ratio, usually changes throughout the shoe. You are at your highest advantage when the tens ratio is even or 4 out of 13. That causes max dealer breaking. Much higher than that, you will be pushing 20's with the dealer. Much lower than that you will be trying to make a hand out of too many cards. This points out one of the major fallacies of card counting. They think that the higher the count the better. Not true at all. You are at your highest advantage when the count is hovering around zero.Shoe signature is closely related to tens density but not the same thing. If we call 2 thru 7 low and 8 thru K high and call Acas high when they follow a high and low when they follow a low we would have a balanced count: 6 highs, 6 lows with aces swinging. We do this with Aces because Aces are not a good tens prognosticator. Aces run with lows just as often as they run with highs because Aces are played low as often as they are played high. Another fallacy of card counting.Now, if we were to plot an entire shoe (including the cut off cards) on graph paper about a horizontal 0 axis line going over one space for every card and up one space for every low and down one space for every high our graph would end up precisely balanced. Our sign wave loops would create just as much area above the axis as below the axis. That creates the shoe signature. Clumped shoes will have a few large waves above the axis and a few below the axis. The greater the clumping the fewer the number of waves and the larger the waves are. The more random the cards are the smaller the waves are and the more there are. This is how we think of the game while we are playing. The better we can picture the sine wave being produced, (the signature) the fewer mistakes we will make. And the more we practice the better we can "see" the sine wave. We call this abstract thinking. This points out yet another fallacy of card counting. There is no abstract thinking in card counting. In fact they are trained to not think at all. Now, I ask you: What job pays you to not think??? Well, neither does Blackjack. Blackjack only pays thinkers. We are teaching you the best way to think. Some good NBJ players like to think of it as the ocean surf on a windy day. The greater the wind (clumping) the greater the waves and the greater the troughs. Whatever suits your fancy. Tapes. Keith and I have decided to put ALL the tapes on computer where you can access them from the private BJ forum. This includes the NBJ and WCB audio tapes as well as the home practice video. In fact I'm mailing Keith the tapes today for that purpose. So, the only reason to buy them is if you want to be able to listen to the cassettes in your car (esp. on the way to the casino - I always do this and so do many NBJ players) and/or if you would like to be able to watch the video on your TV via VCR rather than your computer. They aren't on CD but you can always transfer them to CD yourself. I have only a few sets left but I can mail them to you at $150 per full set. There are 4 NBJ audios, 4 WCB audios and one movie length home practice video per set. Remember, use email@example.com.I'm sorry I was not able to reply sooner. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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