Guest Posted April 26, 2013 Report Share Posted April 26, 2013 16 shoes were not enough to fully asses Vegas conditions but I did get some interesting impressions:Whenever you are playing touch games, you are playing new, "preshuffled" cards. In other words, you are playing fixed cards - some expert's idea of an unbeatable shoe. We only played 3 or 4 such games and won about half.But you can't be assured of old cards by sticking to only the touch games. They change to new cards every chance they get - any time all the players leave after a completed shoe but also sometimes at the start of a new shoe. This is totally logical from the casino's point of view because new cards are fixed cards.But often a table empties out mid shoe leaving a half full tote board at an empty table. And also we see half full tote boards at half full tables. These two presented the best opportunities because we could get a good read before sitting down. Starting in the blind with new cards was pretty much suicidal because these games went totally against SAP. We quickly learned not to do that and to assume that any table with an empty tote board was new cards.So it became a question of reading tote boards regardless if there were other players in the game or not. Once we figured this out we did OK.Another thing to our advantage is that there were no F tables. All tables were a mixture of S40 and OTB4L. This also stands to reason since casinos do worst in F games. Our biggest mistake was that every time we finally decided to change from 40 to OT or vice versa, we were too late. We'd have been better off to stick to one or the other.But better yet, I think we would have been best off to anticipate change. The games tended to change about every 7 or 8 plays. So if OT did well for 7 or 8 plays, we should have changed to 40 W/O waiting for the shoe to tell us to. And vice versa. It was almost like clockwork. We did OK but I wish I had it to do over again. I think if we anticipated change we would have done a whole lot better. I'm thinking "anticipation" is the name of the game in Vegas these days. Ha, the ONE time we tried F, it was dead wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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