brad01 Posted December 13, 2015 Report Share Posted December 13, 2015 Well it is commonly said that ties are the worst bet to make as they mathematically occur 1 in 10 and only pay 8:1Nobody could argue with that fact on the long termSame as people say baccarat is the best table game to play due to the low house edgePeople will also say that the odds favour banker slightly so you should place more bets on bankerI agree with all of the above IN THE LONG TERMBut our short term aim is not the long term its the short termIf we can consistently win in the short term then we will win in the long termMost players here know that the .5% edge to banker makes no difference to their game as in the short term the bias will be one way or another and that .5% doesn't come into itThey also know that at any 1 time in the game the odds are not necessarily 50 / 50 - the could be but they could be in favour of a banker or player bet in which case the odds are not 50/50 - that's how we gain an edgeSO THEN IF THE ODDS OF A TIE IS GREATER THAN 1 IN 10 THEN A 8:1 PAYOFF SUDDENLY MAKES A TIE BET LOOK PRETTY DAMN GOODHow can you predict a tie?Heres a few things work for me:Ties are running hot - several in a row or 2 in 5, 3 in 8 etcThere hasn't been a tie for over 10 plays or more (ideally 15 - 20)Player and Banker are running closeRepeats are highNaturals are highWhen several of the above happen together I tend to find the odds of a tie are greater than 1 in 10When I'm ahead I will put up some bets on ties as a few units risked to hit a tie is a good risk / rewardWith 3 hands to go I predicted a tie and bet for 2 handsI missed the last 1 by a few seconds and it was a tie on the last hand !!Next game I saw there was no ties for 15 or so hands and there was a few naturals and P/B were running close / repeats were highI hit it on 2nd bet!Any comments or ways other people predict ties? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.