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wolfat

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Posts posted by wolfat

  1. BEFORE you put your money  in:

    "Therefore we made ANB and OTB4L partner 20 unit systems and the tote board tells us which is ideal for the shoe at hand. Between these two systems, we beat EVERYTHING a casino can deal. We are "INVINCIBLE"! "

     

    AFTER:

    "ANB is so new, we haven’t had time to experiment much yet....  "

     

    So you sell something for thousands and didn't test it widely?

    ...but have time for big promotion.

    I found it so disappointing 

  2. modnar,

    I agree 100% with you. 

    The two main issues:

    the prog: when tou believe that it can overwhelm variance and this is unbelievable from a "beautiful mind". when the system does not match the outcome you are dead! or better... your bankroll. progs work when they close the cycle but when you don't... you cannot recover. I wrote in another post that is like giving a decision more importance, betting high, respect to others decisions, that's crazy in a mostly 50/50% game!

    switching: another BIG unsolved problem. I never played NOR as it was presented, because you never know exactly when to switch system. we all know that when we play a method, it has a nemesis and we get our countermeasures. but what happens when you are betting a prog and lose the last term? you are out of a ton of money and have no guarantee that switching you will get your money back, only to be even!  Instead I see he continues with U1D2 with some variations since maaany years. Pure waste of money, YOUR money! because he plays with reds and greens... lol

    A

    • Like 3
  3. Oz,

    great post!

    I think that every seasoned player here passed through the doors you described above.

    I want people understand that mechanical systems fail because they cannot handle the VARIANCE.

    You made your homework, you beat the kitchen table with your system and... when you finally go to casino, proud of your hard work, nothing seems working for you. your prog start bringing you up and up, you miss the key decisions and... finally lose.

    It's not an easy way follow the shoe, everyone here made it in different ways, but if your hard work is correct, you can reduce Variance. I said "reduce" not eliminated.

    Variance interacts with your "follow the shoe" bets but on short term, the shoe biases take the lead on V, that's why it's more profitable take advantage of the shoe's weaknesses.

    Another important point is: AVOID PROGS. At worst, in medium term, also with a bad method, if you flat bet you will finish EVEN.

    With progs, you give to some decisions, more importance respect to some others and this, in a basically 50-50% game is wrong.

    Just because you lost some decisions previously, this doesn't give you the right to win the next decision.As said before, wins and losses interact with bias of the shoe, with your personal permanence and with the quality of the system you are deploying.

    Is it a case that the most valuable players here win flat betting? obviously we push the bets in some favorable situations, but when winning only. This is the only way to get long term winnings.

    A

    • Like 7
  4. Baccarat or PuntoBanco as it's called in Europe, it's not the most common game so in many casinos, especially the smallest ones, maybe you will not find tables at all.

    So my advise is to choose biggest casinos to find some tables, but don't think you will find too many!

    I have no experience about german casinos but you will find some tables in Montecarlo or in Italy, especially at St.Vincent casino in north-west.

    I think in Amsterdam there's a casino with PB table but don't know how many.

    A

  5. Big Chip,

    one more thing, when you get some experience with your method, and get confident with it,

    remember to work on it, looking for improvements, refine and refine your play... it's a never ending job but you will get the inner satisfaction to be a winner at this game! not too much people on earth can do that!

    IE, I'm playing VinSap working with a team of other 4 people. NOBODY play vinsap the same way... but we all score similarly!

    get the point? you need to find your way, customizing what method fitting better your style and never stop working on it.

    by the end, every time  it's always a 50% decision!

    lol

    A

    • Like 1
  6. BigChips,

    Brad gave you advices you should put on stone...

    I want to add something "practical" that could help you.

    I guess, in the past, you jumped from a "winning" system to the next one and couldn't find the right one.

    you know why? because it DOES NOT EXIST.

    what you must do is this: as I think you have a ton of "good systems" to play, choose that one fits more your betting style, I mean, are you a conservative player? do you like more action? etc 

    choose that one fitting more your style.

    put yourself on a kitchen table and play MANUALLY at least hundred shoes.

    analyze them after playing. check if you played well, what's went right or wrong, try to outline weaknesses and strengths.

    after all this work I ASSURE YOU you will be a better player, you will be able to get in a good shoe and out from a bad one, EARLY, without depleting your bankroll.

    Nothing can substitute MANUAL PRACTCE!

    More, in general, read everything you can about bac to get new ideas for improvements BUT don't deviate from your path!

    don't be afraid to share your ideas with good people here, you will receive more than you give.

    I suggest you subscribing our premium membership and read my booklet about baccarat mindset, everyone read it appreciated it a lot!

    NEVER GIVE UP!

    A

    • Like 3
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