Users ECD Posted May 27, 2011 Users Report Share Posted May 27, 2011 Ellis, I would be interested in your critique of how I played this shoe. This is from last Saturday and was the only shoe I played on a short trip to Barona Casino outside San Diego. I started at the beginning of the shoe and decided to flat bet OTB4L until I got an early indication of how to play the shoe. After the first 3 bankers, I decided to skip a bet to see if there would be an early 4 in a row. After the 4th banker, I went to F2 with a 1 unit flat bet. On play 7 i went to a 1,2 progression; on play 10 I went to 123; on play 15 I went to 234; and on play 18 I went to 345. At play 24 I was up +19 units and decided to go to a 1,2 progression to have two opportunities to reach goal of 20. With hindsight, this was not the correct play. Having moved to the 345, I should have been focused on a 30 unit goal. After loosing both attempts to get to 20, I decided to switch to OR, which was looking pretty good based on last 7 or so decisions. Once I lost that bet I realized the switch was a mistake, and decided to exit with a 15 unit win. I wasn't comfortable with my train of thought at that point, so was satisfied to be out with a nice win for a few minutes work. What I learned: 1. make sure I have the right targets for the quality of the shoe. I had a super streaky shoe and quickly got to 345, but I failed to match that with a more aggressive win target. 2. The idea of overlay of the last 7-10 hands is something I really like, but need to be careful not to switch too quickly, especially when the overall shoe tendency is so strong. This continues to be a learning experience, and I would appreciated Ellis, and anyone else, to offer suggestions/observations. [ATTACH]2126[/ATTACH] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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