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S40M1 - What do I do when a 2iar hits


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Hey All,

When listening to the 4D seminar, there was a time where Ellis stated, after a 2, it might be better to play a TT run in case it happens.

I don't know what was confirmed or if we set up a system for this yet. Since we know we are coming up with a 3 bet, which side do we go on and is this a variable if it doesn't happen, we don't do it next time?

Anyhow, your help is appreciated so see what we should do.

Thanks

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After practicing and playing the 4d for a short while... It seems like most shoes at most casinos

are so "unbiased" that you must suspect a change up in the count you have

been following after it has gone for "a while". This includes the low disparity counts. Anticipation and

risk of one unit flat , here and there, might just be a good thing to practice. That is,

I personally find that a hard and fast rule cannot be used always. A player must be more "fluid"

. So it does not seem like a bad idea to test for a TT using one unit, whenever the shoe seems

like it could switch. Actually, it seems prudent to do it often because the nature of the shoes I See

always try to keep the outcomes toward ot4bl/low long runs.

But be forever vigilant for a count that keeps on running, positive or negative. Call those shoes

a gift from above. (stop and reevaluate after a few losses iar would be my only

"hard and fast/ absolute rule)

Hope this helps!

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In a previous post, Ellis said that he had re evaluated the "assume a TT run" idea and said anyone interested in his new idea should ask by private message. I did and it is a good idea with valid reasoning. Remember, ultimately we are still looking at what will work "most of the time". Shoot him a PM and he will send you his thoughts, or I could copy and paste it in a PM

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  • 1 month later...
In a previous post, Ellis said that he had re evaluated the "assume a TT run" idea and said anyone interested in his new idea should ask by private message. I did and it is a good idea with valid reasoning. Remember, ultimately we are still looking at what will work "most of the time". Shoot him a PM and he will send you his thoughts, or I could copy and paste it in a PM

Thanks bluetri. Please feel free to copy my reply to any who request it. I would have to reconstruct it since I just completely emptied my inbox.

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