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# The shell game!

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Do you guys know the shell game?

I have conducted hundreds of BJ seminars all over the world.

I opened every seminar with the shell game.

The point of the demonstration was to show that mathematics is not always what it seems.

The casino has hidden agendas which completely change the odds of the game to THEIR favor.

The true odds of the game are not what they seem but you can beat the game by

understanding the true mathematics of it and taking advantage of the true mathematics.

All BJ books are wrong!

All card counting books are wrong!

All internet card counting forums are wrong!

They are all victims of hidden agenda mathematics.

I put 3 cups upside down on the podium.

One has a \$100 bill under it.

I ask a member of the audience to select cup 1, 2 or 3.

Let's say they select cup #1.

I turn over cup #3 showing it is empty and ask if they

want to change their mind.

Should they?

...to be continued...

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great example Ellis, thanks for sharing it . Make sense, keep 'em coming

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• 4 weeks later...
• Users
Do you guys know the shell game?

I have conducted hundreds of BJ seminars all over the world.

I opened every seminar with the shell game.

The point of the demonstration was to show that mathematics is not always what it seems.

The casino has hidden agendas which completely change the odds of the game to THEIR favor.

The true odds of the game are not what they seem but you can beat the game by

understanding the true mathematics of it and taking advantage of the true mathematics.

All BJ books are wrong!

All card counting books are wrong!

All internet card counting forums are wrong!

They are all victims of hidden agenda mathematics.

I put 3 cups upside down on the podium.

One has a \$100 bill under it.

I ask a member of the audience to select cup 1, 2 or 3.

Let's say they select cup #1.

I turn over cup #3 showing it is empty and ask if they

want to change their mind.

Should they?

...to be continued...

My first instnct is to say "NO...It will make no difference to the odds"

On reflection...if I chose cup #1...I had a 33 1/3% chance of being right because there were 3 cups...If I don't change my mind, that means my chance of my original choice being the correct decision is still 33 1/3%

If I change my mind and choose cup #2 from the remaining 2 cups...then my odds seem to have improved to 50%...but that can't be right because the question then becomes..."What happened to the missing 16 2/3%?"...It can't just disappear

Doesn't it mean that the odds actually change in my favour to 66 2/3% ?

I think...

My head hurts

PS: Do I get a prize?...LOL

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Hmm. If the casino is trying to get me to change my mind then I'll stay.

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