Keith Smith

Folks You can now post and interact with our forum with our iPhone app. To get the app search for beatthecasin in the app store omit the final o I am posting with the iPhone app right now

I can't seem to figure out why some posts on the public forum are going to moderation first. Nothing is set to it in the group forums or per user. Can a few of you throw a few posts on the public forum I want to see who it allows to post and who it doesn't Thnaks for your help KEith

Playing professionally is like being a musician. One can start off and learn bits and pieces and add to his/her skill set their whole life. At some point you go from student to your first real gig ( making money) to part time professional and few make full time professional musicians. Some even teach part time AND PLAY AS WE DO. Can everyone make millions because they have the same skill sets, of course not but that doesn't disqualify them as a pro. There are endless other factors involved. Everyone seems to think there is one formula for doing something, I can plug it in and go get rich. This REQUIREMENT OR RATHER EXPECTATION, all came from card counting STORIES. No... the point is I can determine what strategy will work in this game( that I identified as non random) and if I play black chips i can win 20 units ($2000) on that shoe. It is experience and taking some small wins and understanding what creates the opportunity for a win. Most have no clue. For those who want to win, has anyone investigated assignable cause variation in Bac? It is what causes too many of one thing or another. whether it be opposites vs repeats bankers vs players etc. This is what we look for. Millions of hands of games prove nothing because you cannot over come the central limit theorem that even if you do find non random conditions, they will, eventually, with enough samples, return to normal distribution. I mean come on too did you really have enough time in your lifetime to have 2 million live shoes documented or did you get them from a book where they are assumed to be live shoes? in any event we are not playing 2 million hands, we are playing pockets of opportunity that are hopefully characterized by non random conditions. We look for opportunity to play to a stop win and loss. If we find non randomness we just won more than what we should have and take their money. Why do we teach, why not? It a great way to have collective intelligence. Because I made 3 grand at the casino last week doesn't mean i can't show someone else how i did it. Can I do it next week, I really don't know I didn't use a formula I went and looked for opportunity. I applied what I know and tried to match the info presented to the game at hand. There are millions of professionals who teach and practice their trade. I don't understand why we would be any different or somehow that disqualifies us as legit because we teach also. It's the same BS we hear when people come see us play they always say with an aire of arrogance and certitude, all they did was do this, yes we did that in that situation you stupid ass that's why we won. We matched what was going on to the game. We did it systematically, we don't play like we know what the next hand will be we play tendencies we see and identify. Anyway for all you math gurus I leave you with the words of a great scientist to ponder. “Today’s scientists have substituted mathematics for experiments, and they wander off through equation after equation, and eventually build a structure which has no relation to reality.” — Nikola Tesla

That type of proof in a totally random game does not exist e.g computer simulation. What you need to investigate with statistical analysis is assignable cause variation instead of regurgitating the old school train of thought by people who rarely if ever play the game. If you can't win or the guys you hang with can't win, it's because they don't understand how to. This is painfully obvious by the statement you made. You think this is the end all be all to analysis, you have not even etched the surface. This is what we teach you and we know. Not to mention 1 unit average per shoe over the life of a random game would be proof of nothing even in a random game. I suggest you investigate http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Common-cause_and_special-cause

Here is the 10th shoe from the Sands

Here is the 9th shoe from the Sands

Here is the 8th shoe from the Sands

Here is the 7th shoe from the Sands

HEre is the 6th shoe from the Sands

Here is the 5th shoe

Here is the 4th Shoe from the Sands

Here is the Third Shoe from the Sands.

Here is the II shoe from the Sands

Here is the 1st shoe from the Sands

Here is the 4th shoe from the Hollywood Casino

Here is the Third shoe from the Hollywood Casino

Here is the second shoe from Hollywood Casino.

Here are the Shoes from the Sands and The Hollywood Casino. I will add to this thread as I get them done. Regards Keith [ATTACH]2103[/ATTACH]

Here is the 3-4-5 strategy

Here is the game played S40 -3 U1D2 M2. The scores in the last col. didn't quite make it in the frame but we can all add. The final acore at Play 61 was +28 for the second time. Next we will post the same shoe again played S40 -3 but with the 345 loop.

I doubt it hahaha he's up and running now!

Is hosed I had to order him a new one. I ordered him one from New Egg. They are pretty fast he should have it by Thursday. So he will be off line until then! Call him if you need to speak to him K

Ellis computer i shaving difficulty. It is almost impossible to troubleshoot on the phone. I told him to take it to the shop. He will be back on as soon as they fix the monitor issue. Keith

Yea now bring on your standard deviation BULLSHIT which they know nothing about anyway, or any distribution let alone which one to use in a gambling situation, to prove random or non random, and we will give them a lesson on variable change and more importantly assignable cause variation. I never see anyone commenting on that which is what counts. I guess getting first and second was luck? For my money it was expected results considering we know how to play the game better. We know and learn things they don't know. But their egos get in their own way. Just like in Vegas when the infinite genius who stood behind us and watched us win hand after hand saying all they were doing was playing OTB4l. No shit that's what was working in the game.

was staying at Station Square sorry i missed you KS