Keith Smith

Yes a great year and nd looking forward to some great new innovations on the forum for sure for the upcoming year. Don't forget to subscribe to the Youtube channel where we started the Shoe of the Week Series. Follow us on Twitter Like our Facebook Page In addition don't forget all our Private Members can upload and share documents in the Download Section. Also I am working on some new FREE training for private members through GoToMeeting. McVince is all excited about some of his New Playing techniques and we are looking to a release of his revelations and will more than likely do a GoToMeeting Webinar. As always we are always looking to increase our private subscription base to insure we have players from all over the world. So we look for your recommendations and referrals of friends.

Here is the Shoe of the week from the Commerce Casino played by CT70. If you want to learn more join our private forum.

Here is a short 9 minute over view for members of the Stats for Profits Features. Don't miss this video. Expand to full Screen. This is a hidden video on the Youtube Beat The Casino You Tube Channel.

Hey I was thinking maybe we could talk Trump into trying to renegotiate the VIG from 5% to 3% for a Bank win. hahaha

Yes it ws the same both produced TBL shoes. Here is another shoe from Resorts same day. I switched to 40 then

After playing at the Palms in Vegas and then Resorts in AC yesterday i noticed that the shuffle is exactly the same. The shuffle looks like it deals TBL shoes. They can be streaky and then have a lot of opposites. Here is one game I played at Resorts yesterday almost unbelievable shoe. I took this Pic and sent to mike during the game it continued until the end. TBL never lost 3 in a row the entire game. I never had that happen. This was a 8 pile stutter shuffle and wash.

As we say it was a Stone Groove play session in Vegas this week I am posting this on the public forum also so many who are considering joining will see we are real players with Professional Players, Casino Dealers and Casual Players. We started off at the Palms on the advice of one of our players Uday who said that the Palms was dealing too many TBL games. He mentioned it was extremely predictable and stuck. Unfortunately, he couldn’t make it along with some others who wanted to swing by and play but Mike and myself were all about the Palms. We initially played up 1 down 1 with TBL and won pretty much every shoe the first day. It was uncanny how the streaky games kept reoccurring at literally every table we played at. The streaks could be all one sided or zig zag. Many players only think that a streak is one-sided Bank or Player but a true TBL game can be also Zig Zag (opposite) runs. The following day we met Way2Fast at the Aria and played a shoe or two and then convinced him that the game at the Palms was in fact very predictable and a TBL game. We went bac and plyed another there shoes with hi and low and behold more of the same. W2F likes to find opportunities and bet on either high probability bets with a small spread. Watching and analyzing his play, (due to the fact that he is a real pro and one of our best players if not the best) One of his tricks is he watches for complex events (composed of multiple instances of opposites or repeats in most cases) and bets accordingly based on the casino conditions. Either they will tend to repeat or they will tend not to. I let him elaborate in the private forum if W2F so chooses to. In addition, at the Aria watching the SAP count and the normalization of it seems to be a nice way to play. I need to watch the game more there to see if SAP count tends to normalize in the games there. The strategy reminds me of the Zero Proximity Count Blackjack Method that bets more when the Blackjack count is close to the Zero line as the dealers breaks more when the cards are closest to random or crossing the Zero Line. The following day Mike and myself decided to play group bank. One to watch the game and the other to act consultant and observer. We started the day trying to spot bet high probability bets with limited success but Mike kept saying it was a TBL game still. The rub was he wasn’t truly betting TBL or rather missing some of the TBL opportunities by not betting enough hands. As the observer my job was to provide feedback on the decisions, you are playing spot TBL missing much of the 5 and 6 in a rows by not betting every hand in the streak. While spot betting high probability bets is a great way to play the game was obviously biased for streaks and getting on them after the 3rd r 5th play was missing opportunity. He the switched to up as you win on streaks and we caught two or the 6 in a rows u 1 as you win and had our best day. Mike has over 40 shoes of the Palms to input and our premium members can see them all in the Stats For Profits interface. Here is an example f how we are working on the score card display. In addition, we went to South Point where we played a few shoes and won. I was trying a few 2.2.1 shoes and won. We stopped at the Luxor and took a them for a few hundred in two shoes and also another group bank at the Hard Rock. Again Mike is a statistics nut so he will have them in SFP interface. Lessons learned from my perspective is that I am a time keeper. I decided to stop playing on Tuesday at about 5pm knowing that I was running out of time and if I were to lose a shoe (imagine that) I may not have time to recover it back. I took the money and was happy for the big win. Mike always plays till the last second and as normal if it wasn’t for the last minute the profit would have been 50% less for him. You never know who is watching as at the end of the day the dealer looked at me and said hey Keith should I switch to Baccarat, I am a member. He dealt to us for three days and never said word that he was a member. Maybe he will chime in now. As for game selection, it is easier to find a predictable game that TBL or SAP beats and play that than try to figure out a struggling game. Just go find a game that you can beat. Again my contention is that if a bias is cause by assignable cause, it happens in the entire casino as it did at the Palms. I ask our dealer member what he said when I ask him why he thought there we so many repeats here he said it is the shuffle. We are planning on going again on or about the 12th. Members are welcome to join us, so sign up because it really is more fun when you win.

Hi I will transfer all the videos in Screen cast to link only in Yortube meaning not public if you have the link or move them to the download section if you can extend me a few hours KS

So I cleaned up the Net Bet manual and added try to exploit the two betting as a nice conservative way to play to try to get some members here at BeatTheCasino.com. I doubt the title was very marketing friendly but hey it's what we call it here. The more conversation here the better and provides revenue to run the business if you can see your way to drop a review it will only help membership and ur cause here. I get about 2 buck if you buy it but it is in the download section so a couple of reviews from members here would help. I got two good ones and I guess the tired one is a know it all who seems to either just want to bust on me or assumes everyone has read every Baccarat book available. Or perhaps you should buy everything Barstow wrote and nothing else. Also If I could get some of you guys to take a look at SWITCH it is doing pretty well at Grantville casino here. I posted a video in the other forum. K

By the way if you have downloads of manuals anyone can add them to the download section for all to use.

Thnaks I get this fixed up !!

On the topic are the card s biased here is the unedited first thoughts as I am rewriting the MDB+ manual. Again if there are grammatical errors I aplologize and I am working on clarity and word smithing I thought relevant to this conversation If we analyze the game, it is fairly close to a 50/50 proposition. You pick Banker or Player. I know Banker has a slight edge due to the card play rules but all in all it is close. If you want to read all about it simply Google Baccarat Banker advantage or visit us at BeatTheCasino.com. For our purposes insignificant. As I watch players who ultimately lose by pattern betting they lose because they believe whatever pattern they see in a game will endlessly continue. This will only occur with increasing predictable frequency if there is an assignable cause for this to occur, that is a process error in the card preparation or game that makes it occur. Unfortunately, some players actually think that Baccarat is affected by some supernatural power. This is the quickest way to lose. The psychology of a superstitious gambler and the need to believe in things beyond the realm of reality and magical thinking makes the casinos extremely profitable. I enjoy turning over the cards in Baccarat as much as the next person and at times on a strategic bet, but needless to say no matter what I do or believe the cards will never change. The social aspect and comradery adds to excitement of the game. To further expand on the pattern betting, the “rub” as we say with random cards is that the same event can occur with random cards, but you will generally will not see it within complex events time after time. If you only see it once you are not certain if it is random or it is a non-random event. If you continue to see it hand after hand, game after game, you may have identified a non-random condition and this is extremely exploitable. However you must be careful as shorter events that we will explain later happen with a frequency, by the very nature of them, may seem nonrandom and predictable. Most players believe this in every game of Baccarat and this is the players’ flaw. What they are seeing is a non -pattern and they believe it to be a pattern. Remember you will be right half the time by guessing. The most prolific example of this where card prepped cause non randomness was in multiple deck games of Blackjack that were hand shuffled. You would consistently see low cards following low cards more than they statistically should and high cards following high card more than they statistically should. Again not just once in one game but every Blackjack game that you would see. You can read all about this in our publication Blackjack 101 by BeatTheCasino.com. Baccarat players fall victim to human nature that wants to identify patterns in everything. Realize that with the exception of a tie in Baccarat you can only have two things happen, a Banker can win the hand or a Player. At BeatTheCasino.com we also not only look at the game from this approach but we assign events to when this occurs. An important concept to understand is what an event? An Event is one or more sequences of Banker or Player wins defined as opposites or as repeats but must be preceded by another Banker or Player win. This sounds a bit confusing and it is very clear once you see an example. Furthermore, you will see why it must be preceded by another hand of play. While we know what side wins the first hand of a shoe, we do not know what preceded it so we eliminate it as an event because it does not meet the two component criteria of being preceded by a hand. Know that an event must have two components to it to be categorized an event. Let’ look at the definitions and examples of this

Fixed Fixed itis i need memebrs hahah attached is updted anything else or any other one have any suggestions? 2 high netbet v.91.docx

Can I get a critique and suggestions for the two high NET bet Manual I am working on please. I was going to use it as a feeder on Kindle on what we do here. KS 2hi Net bet 2.docx

NO it's great you post !!!

Hey thanks for the promotion of the site there by the way!!!

Bruce you never joined hahaha Join us!

Hi Thought I would chime in on the Premium Members forum. Well first if you bought before you have access to this forum and all of the original information and members. The Premium forum has the organized download section and the stats for profits interface and new conversations. I had to change the business model so that we think collectively instead of one person being the end all be all source of what is correct. It did not lend itself to better play missing many other common sense ways top;play the game. In addition, the only way for it to be a financially viable business model was to offer new products i.e. manuals. It was odd that when those manuals were offered, many would buy them and think nothing of it. Some were very good, NOR and MDB. But the theory behind them were all one sided and no one was able to question the validity without criticism or ridicule. I had to stop that. In addition to selling manuals to keep the business model working and paying someone the majority of the revenue do this and continually write in the forum was not conducive to building the business and providing the best information worldwide. . Don't misunderstand it was valuable but counter productive when the ideas and insights of other intelligent Baccarat Players is ridiculed. If you decide to join the premium member forum, you are no longer paying for manuals you are joining a conversation where all thought and different approaches are considered and evaluated. A players network where players discuss how to play and beat the casino. We have been indoctrinated to accept one way of playing generally up as you lose negative progressions, there are many other ways worth discussion. There is no promise of you will win a million dollars and get rich quick. It is thoughtful conversation with good players, tools and approaches to evaluate, talk about and see what works best. Also in the interest of fairness it is not $600 a year it is $49.95 a month and you do not have to renew if you choose. My hope is that I will get enough members to lower the price. It is funny that when selling manuals, I have learned from marketing, if one promises wealth and endless winning, people will buy because they want to believe. If i do this and say look let's objectively look at everything we have and let's see what insights you can add people balk at it. Yet they will accept casino promotions where they know the casino has an advantage but go think they can beat them, pay thousands of dollars for manuals by many system writers who promise winning. I ask for support to have an intelligent conversation, objective evaluation of approach, and continue the forum and get very few old members to join us due to $49.95 a month. I would hope that many will see if we can get enough real players in the Premium forum, the thoughts of all will be so much better than one "GURU" who claims to be the end all source for knowledge. I would hope that some will join us and support what we are trying to do and add what they can. That way we can have a better place here. Keith

Here is the Video Explanation of the Easy Way OR Count in the download sections.

Here is a list of everything you get with private membership http://forum.beatthecasino.com/index.php?/index.html/

I have added the ability for members to add their own manuals in the download section in case you want to upload any of your manuals and approaches for assistance and review. Please note it must be your original work and not from any other website on the internet. If someone would be kind enough to try to upload one I would appreciate the test. Each post will come to me or Mike first in a moderation queue to be approved first.

The Baccarat Methods at BeatTheCasino.com occurs several times. Please register for the date and time that works best for you: https://attendee.gototraining.com/rt/3235236371413092610 Thinking of joining BeatTheCasino.com? Join me as I do an over view of all the methods in the private downloads section. This survey presentation will highlight our flagship offerings of NOR and MDB+. In addition an explanation of the logic of the strategies and some of the best ways to win at Baccarat and Blackjack. Get in tune with the secrets of some of the best players here at BeatTheCasino.com. After registering you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the training. Brought to you by GoToTraining® Online Training Made Easy™ Citrix Systems, Inc. | 7414 Hollister Avenue | Goleta, CA 93117

I think we over analysis when you see repeats ahead you should play a repeat strategy that capitalizes on it as fast and aggressively that is reasonable. Everyone seems to ignore this strategy because we are so indoctrinated to up as you lose. The losses are minimal and you tend to either hover around zero with that strategy approach or you get a few ahead only to make a small gain of +5 and then lose it when you lose a progression. If there is reason to believe that one or other approach is beating a game, you need to bet it up as you win or at least bet more when you think the event will occur and have evidence it does. Here is how 2.2.1 played the game and the other game you posted. The biggest bet was 9 and we have a +7 and a +12 game.

Do you have your shoes I'd be interested in seeing your bets?

Should have played it as 2.2.1 We should be looking more at up as you win and 2.2.1 Approach.