Streaky Shoe Data

[Pando]

Hi everyone

I have examined my data for about 200 shoes (pre-shuffled) from SkyCity in Auckland, New Zealand

(I am currently an S40M1 player as this method best suits shoes I commonly encounter)

My records tell me a lot about the streaky nature of the shoes as follows;

From the 202 Shoes (which had at least 1 x 4IAR) that I examined,

8 Shoes had only 1 x 4IAR or more (4% of all shoes)

27 Shoes had 2  x 4IAR or more (13% of all shoes)

58 Shoes had 3 x 4IAR or more (29% of all shoes)

45 Shoes had 4 x 4IAR or more (22% of all shoes)

30 Shoes had 5 x 4IAR or more (15% of all shoes)

22 Shoes had 6 x 4IAR or more (11% of all shoes)

9 Shoes had 7 x 4IAR or more (4% of all shoes)

2 Shoes had 8 x 4IAR or more (<1% of all shoes)

1 Shoes had 9 x 4IAR or more (<1% of all shoes)

In other words, when a 4IAR (or more) occurs in a shoe, there is a 96% chance, based on these data,

that there will be another 4IAR (or more) in the shoe. And most likely there will be 3,4, or 5 of them.

Of course I understand every casino is different, but maybe its something other players may want to check for themselves

BTW, I am entering these shoes into the Statsforprofit database for everyones benefit.

best regards

Pando

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Pando]

Just for good measure here is the first live shoe I played at Dublinbet this morning,

B11252411111(10)1212122414113

All of the 4IAR or more were players

Players 38, Bankers 18, Tie 6

[LOU30]

Hi Pando, I done a similar study a while ago over 6000 plays and found that yes once there has been a 4+iar in a shoe they are always followed by more,handy to know if you start a shoe playing S40 when selecting modes! Or when playing repeats, I also used this study to see how long to stay on the runs for... I have the results in one of my books I will have to dig them out and post them.

As you said these are obviously casino dependent results ...But its good to know the characteristics of your local casino!

Regards.

Lou

[XDN]

Great post thank you!

[Action Mike]

Some of these stats are available in the stats for profits system.   If there are specific things you would find helpful, please let me know and I will add them to the to-do list.

[mjmtong]

Hello everyone,

Re. the "B11252411111(10)1212122414113" in Pando's recent post.

Could someone please explain to me what the "(10)" in the middle there means.? Thanks. 

[LOU30]

     Hi  mjmtong, it means a repeat run of 10   ie,  10 Players.

[Pando]

Further to my original post, I thought it would be interesting to see how many 3's occur between

the 4+IAR's. (4 or more in a row), as 3IAR is the trigger for this bet.

Today I noted proceedings at the casino and found the following;

In the shoes I saw there were 4+IAR on 33 occasions in the various shoes being played

Of the 33 x 4+IAR's, an incredible 24 were back to back (4,4 or 6,4 etc) - no 3's in between

and nothing else less than 4 either. I find this very interesting.

On 6 occasions there was only 1 x 3 in between 4+IAR (eg;4,1,3,2,4), on 2 occasions there were

2 x 3's between the 4+IAR (eg; 4,3,1,1,3,1,4) and only once was there 4 x 3's in between the 4+IAR's.

I am sure Way2Fast will find these details interesting, although probably he already knows.

[Pando]

13 hours ago, Pando said:

Further to my original post, I thought it would be interesting to see how many 3's occur between

the 4+IAR's. (4 or more in a row), as 3IAR is the trigger for this bet.

Today I noted proceedings at the casino and found the following;

In the shoes I saw there were 4+IAR on 33 occasions in the various shoes being played

Of the 33 x 4+IAR's, an incredible 24 were back to back (4,4 or 6,4 etc) - no 3's in between

and nothing else less than 4 either. I find this very interesting.

On 6 occasions there was only 1 x 3 in between 4+IAR (eg;4,1,3,2,4), on 2 occasions there were

2 x 3's between the 4+IAR (eg; 4,3,1,1,3,1,4) and only once was there 4 x 3's in between the 4+IAR's.

I am sure Way2Fast will find these details interesting, although probably he already knows.

Sorry guys, I made a mistake here (I was very tired yesterday)

The sentence should read;

Of the 33 x 4+IAR's, an incredible 24 were back to back (eg; 4,4 or 6,4  OR 4,1,4, 6,2,2,4 etc) -

with no 3's between the 4+IAR's, only 1's and 2's. I find this very interesting.

[brad01]

This ties in with last 3 events method trigger of repeat only bias

If repeats outweigh opposites in the short term then bet repeats in the short term'

EG

24

42

34

43

Expect repeats to continue short term meaning your 2 consecutive 4iar's will come.

[Pando]

That's a good thought Brad, thanks