Guest Posted September 5, 2011 Report Share Posted September 5, 2011 Ellis, Thanks much for your encouragement.Allow me to comment about that 08/29/11 Shoe 1. The original way I played it was posted in the following post at this link (http://www.beatthecasino.com/forum/showthread.php?t=6556&p=28797#post28797). Yes, when I saw the board, I could tell just by looking at it, it was an S40 shoe. (I suppose you'd say I was doing an "intuitive" OR count.) It was so obvious that I did what normally don't do - that is, buy in and bet over-the-shoulder (behind a very irritated seated player, I might add.)As luck/fate would have it, when I began betting, I hit a 4-in-a-row immediately, and since I was using a 1234 (having supreme confidence in what I had learned from you), I lost 4 iar right off the bat, losing -10u immediately, which is technically past the usual -8u SL. So, I literally did do what you urged in the other post: I dropped everything and (tried to) exploit the shoe, since I felt it was my obligation to do so.Fortunately, in this shoe, I decided to press on, and starting back at 1u, I used regular S40 to crawl my way back to break-even +1u by the shoe's end. (Now, had I used U1D2M2, of course, I would've ended much better, but losing 4 iar right off the bat doesn't exactly inspire confidence to do so.)Yes, in hindsight, that 08/29/11 Shoe 1 appears to be a great S40 shoe. But in playing it forward live given what happened, it was not exactly a pleasant experience.(Even replaying this shoe w/ SAP from my original entry point, the way I replayed it hit the SL using 2Hi. http://www.beatthecasino.com/forum/showthread.php?t=6575&p=28926#post28926)I'm sure you're absolutely right - if you were to play at Horseshoe IN, you'd think you'd entered heaven itself - LOL. I'm sure it's just my lack of experience and ability, not knowing what to look for and how to exploit it, and low confidence that are making it so much more difficult for me. And a good dose of bad luck sprinkled on top.Yeah, a lot of it has to do with the luck of exactly where you happen to enter. Sometimes a shoe is so choppy you feel foolish betting OTR so sometimes I simply don't bother. Eventually you develop a feel for runaway counts. I'm not one to wait around very long. I've just watched too many good shoes go by. Then when you finally DO decide to enter the shoe is due to change. I like to jump on what I see. If I'm wrong, that's what -8 is for. In reality it works out closer to -7. But a +50 makes up for a lot of -7s. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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