Pipecub, this is purely my opinion, but I would not go hear a table with out a couple of weeks practice....bare minimum. There is an incredible amount of information in those 23 pages and it will take multiple reads for the fog to start lifting. Going in half cocked would be suicide.
I look at events in groups of 4 and how often they happen in relation to how often they mathematically SHOULD happen in that group of four. If it's happening More than it should that's a trend. AND if it's happening LESS, well that's a trend also.
He gave you good advice, and I chose in a similar fashion....I like his S40M1 idea. I usually have a good idea after 4 hands. Try this little drill, write out all the possible outcomes for the first 4 hands and decide what they tell you. That is a big part of how I chose, along with the table history and what that color shoe has done in the past (last time dealt).
Kevin, just wanted to weigh in with my thoughts on the TWIST. Your idea of using it as a hit and run system of three or four bets per shoe and move on is exactly what my first thought was. It is similar to the hit and run first base system that Ellis teaches in Blackjack. There are many smaller casinos where one can not find a seat, but opportunity exists for "over the shoulder" betting. Your twist may just be the ticket for such situations, and with relative safety to boot. Kudos
Natural, the S40M1 was a part of a recent seminar. The seminar covered S40M1, the new slant on the 3rd bet rule and an overview of where we expect the 4d to go. The seminar recording should still be available for purchase.
In a previous post, Ellis said that he had re evaluated the "assume a TT run" idea and said anyone interested in his new idea should ask by private message. I did and it is a good idea with valid reasoning. Remember, ultimately we are still looking at what will work "most of the time". Shoot him a PM and he will send you his thoughts, or I could copy and paste it in a PM
Ellis, along the same train of thought, would CSM then provide a more consistant level of clumping? As long as the setting of the machine are unchanged, would the game remain the same for longer? I.E. a good game stays good, longer
Because of family commitments that arose AFTER I signed up for the webinar, I may not be able to attend. Can I assume that it will be recorded as past webinars have? Can't wait for the big reveal!